Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cuiaba: Josefina Estevez vs Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c26f6d2440becfb8d86f5271f0620113a66ac94ca1b0679e659466653d36b66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Da Cruz Mendoncaof Josefina Estevez, Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 67c | 421.4$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Josefina Estevez | 34c | 343.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 19c | 303.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.79 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Josefina Estevez | 15c | 156.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 8c | 154.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 41c | 139.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Josefina Estevez | 60c | 132.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 340 | 52.1%177 W · 163 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Josefina Estevez | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Josefina Estevez | 68c | 99.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 20c | 58.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 19c | 51.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Josefina Estevez | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 61c | 33.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Josefina Estevez | 50c | 29.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | 64c | 28.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Josefina Estevez | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.