Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe50e7696c8622d68a44510368b6e67ca991543fab3bd107130e489e7fb3fe78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Over | 57c | 15,240$8,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,754.98 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…33e4backed Under | 40c | 8,031$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Over | 60c | 7,523$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 4,587$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.08 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Over | 5c | 4,104$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Over | 7c | 3,805$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Over | 55c | 3,034$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.47 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79bd…5c31backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 46c | 2,795$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 51c | 2,444$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 49c | 2,392$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Over | 56c | 2,291$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Over | 79c | 2,285$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,151$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.59 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 2,143$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.42 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Under | 38c | 2,123$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +167%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 80c | 1,753$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.4 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Over | 1c | 1,733$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 1,585$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.26 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 55c | 1,352$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Over | 25c | 1,343$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 1,331$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.07 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 73c | 1,300$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.64 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 43c | 694.58$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.53 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Over | 48c | 657.75$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked Over | 57c | 633.75$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 53c | 582.5$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.93 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 576.85$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.42 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 45c | 568.21$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.05 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 54c | 546.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.44 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 79c | 524.68$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.72 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 523.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.94 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 506.03$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Over | 50c | 506$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 499.92$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.62 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Under | 24c | 482.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 454.13$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.29 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 46c | 422.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…e2b1backed Over | 50c | 400.67$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 374.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 50c | 314.7$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 52c | 280.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 271.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Under | 49c | 246.76$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 79c | 239.12$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 54c | 232.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 47c | 228.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 46c | 227.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Over | 51c | 222.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 52c | 215.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 211.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 210.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 46c | 207.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 205.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1c…4707backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 192.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 188.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 53c | 184.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 46c | 159.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 46c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Over | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 16c | 145$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed Over | 53c | 142.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…4871backed Under | 48c | 141.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Under | 51c | 139.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…29c3backed Over | 42c | 131.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 36c | 121.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Under | 48c | 111.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 46c | 101.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Over | 71c | 97.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 16c | 93.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 48c | 81.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 51c | 75.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 75c | 71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 57c | 66.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 65.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 26c | 62.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…5561backed Over | 48c | 58.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 38c | 52.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +9.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 47c | 52.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…ec9ebacked Over | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…871bbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…a6f6backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)FC Nantes won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)FC Nantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.