Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1039946da7c30eca6b06b783dc154f2fe4a9daca5538b78d8973e09168664738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 18c | 1,812$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.36 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9c…5da9backed No | 3c | 1,042$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 68c | 699.19$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 78c | 541$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 43c | 280.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked No | 62c | 266.52$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 227.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.64 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 52c | 224.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 31c | 207.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 66c | 196.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 72c | 188.31$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 78c | 172.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 80c | 168.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 47c | 161.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 157.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fe…43a7backed Yes | 27c | 149.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 53c | 149.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…7e81backed No | 66c | 142.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 130.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 54c | 124.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 79c | 121.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 120.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 29c | 113.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 56c | 113$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 69c | 106.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 54c | 105.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 34c | 100.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 31c | 100.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 30c | 99.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 51c | 94.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…8dcbbacked Yes | 31c | 79.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 22c | 69.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 71c | 67.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 40c | 65.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 39c | 63.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 34c | 63.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 23c | 62.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed Yes | 34c | 59.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 59.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 56.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 73c | 54.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked No | 76c | 50.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…c83fbacked No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…6e19backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 77c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 69c | 42.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 49c | 40.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 28c | 39.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 71c | 37.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 31c | 35.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 74c | 35.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 53c | 34.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 32c | 32.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 68c | 31.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 79c | 31.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 29.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 68c | 29.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6370…f483backed Yes | 61c | 29.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 56c | 27.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…02a8backed Yes | 71c | 25.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…8f98backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -7.2wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…a047backed Yes | 59c | 23.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…c848backed Yes | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 54c | 21.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…8474backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…2db5backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 61c | 17.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 70c | 16.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 69c | 15.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cf…5732backed No | 76c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 78c | 14.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.