Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x511b168bdc3ffe390a912459c67468d68cb36dcf9c5a8331b9403f0bf67f8e4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 8c | 581.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 38c | 371.23$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 326.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 26c | 227.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 44c | 227.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 41c | 218$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 49c | 201.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 200.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 29c | 200.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…7b51backed No | 62c | 188.48$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…c7edbacked Yes | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed Yes | 41c | 175.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 69c | 153.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 55c | 146.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 71c | 145.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 74c | 144.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 33c | 138.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 75c | 137.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 59c | 132.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 131.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 33c | 119.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 117.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 34c | 115.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 73c | 110.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…8dcbbacked Yes | 55c | 109.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 64c | 101.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 41c | 99.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 34c | 89.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 83.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 70c | 82.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 67c | 80.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 34c | 78.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 33c | 74.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 71.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 31c | 69.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 78c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked No | 77c | 60.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 29c | 59.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…dbfabacked No | 67c | 52.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 100 | 81%81 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 36c | 52.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 78c | 51.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fe…43a7backed No | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 25c | 50.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…6e19backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 63c | 47.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…bf2abacked Yes | 50c | 42.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 35c | 40.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 67c | 39.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…c12abacked Yes | 54c | 36.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6424backed Yes | 45c | 36.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 42c | 36.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 62c | 35.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 61c | 33.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 59c | 33.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 31.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 38c | 30.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 44c | 29.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 60c | 28.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 27.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 71c | 26.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 77c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 65c | 23.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 65c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 72c | 22.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 68c | 21.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…ab78backed No | 51c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 72c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 59c | 20.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 63c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 66c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599f…3317backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 125 | 78.4%98 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 68c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…91f9backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 61c | 17.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 76c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…8f98backed No | 68c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -7.2wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…2b99backed No | 68c | 14.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…160bbacked No | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.