Fifa International · resolved market
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x854ef400a6758fff5eeb89280e4f664305ead9524b2bd1897257752313f4eb11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 39c | 8,653$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.54 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 3,855$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 59c | 3,115$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.87 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 41c | 2,425$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 1,659$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.29 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 1,229$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.73 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 16c | 972.7$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 58c | 855.63$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.37 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 57c | 850.45$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.76 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 33c | 603.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 34c | 585.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 34c | 585.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 27c | 534.08$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.48 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 74c | 440.35$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.46 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 63c | 369.75$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.94 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 73c | 342$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 10c | 329.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Over | 57c | 299.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 259.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 49c | 237.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 56c | 208.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 186.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 74c | 185.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 25c | 153.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 145.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 15c | 143$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 74c | 129.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 62c | 84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 40c | 81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 25c | 78.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 43c | 78.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 63c | 77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 73c | 76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 25c | 66.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 45c | 57.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 76c | 56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Over | 56c | 44.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 73c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked Under | 29c | 37.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 55c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Over | 62c | 30.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 54c | 29.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 65c | 28.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…3456backed Over | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 43c | 28.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 75c | 24.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…4ebdbacked Over | 66c | 21.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Over | 62c | 16.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Thailand (-1.5)Kuwait won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 0.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 1.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 2.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 4.5Under won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.