Fifa International · resolved market
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df58e5fedf15ab03e1121ba787a6e7bf32fd45f4176130e232d783b49619f15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 34c | 3,422$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 2,881$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.55 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 78c | 2,098$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.85 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 1,475$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.61 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 11c | 1,356$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 38c | 1,232$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 758.2$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b12backed Over | 40c | 470$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 77c | 432.74$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 49c | 411.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 24c | 411.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 9c | 335.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 12c | 328$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 11c | 292.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 13c | 258.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 253.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Over | 42c | 238.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 45c | 222.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 49c | 210$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 79c | 184.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 56c | 178.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…d8a1backed Over | 11c | 172.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 21c | 158.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 10c | 144$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 131.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 21c | 100.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 21c | 90.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 24c | 90.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Over | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 35c | 88.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 81.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 49c | 67.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 24c | 63.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 49c | 61.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 47c | 60.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 48c | 60.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 38c | 55.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 60c | 53.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 57c | 20.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 67c | 15.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Thailand (-1.5)Kuwait won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 0.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 1.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 2.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 3.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.