Fifa International · resolved market
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cc31573cfc1fcfd749014cd871c1e09a20369fd0d92159aa414d84ebd7f339a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 43c | 1,088$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.08 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 819.25$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 74c | 594$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 510.56$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 26c | 487.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Under | 4c | 446.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 347.27$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 73c | 314.84$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 284.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 73c | 272.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 234.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 206$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 165$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 28c | 143.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Over | 73c | 136.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…acbbbacked Under | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 29c | 52.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 56c | 46.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 37.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 29c | 35.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 76c | 33.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Over | 74c | 24.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Thailand (-1.5)Kuwait won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 0.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 2.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 3.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 4.5Under won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.