Fifa International · resolved market
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff1f64943b7fbd9abf54faf182719c31c1b54c3d780bf9d5e489f3366dfecf2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Under | 26c | 2,759$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,867$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 51c | 1,654$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.61 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 1,478$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.7 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 75c | 835.32$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 48c | 741.85$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.15 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 696.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.21 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 614.63$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.63 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 546.73$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.92 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 537.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.36 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 75c | 466.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 54c | 427.1$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.63 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 392.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.92 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 26c | 320.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.27 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 65c | 314.55$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 25c | 300$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.83 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 75c | 266.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 227$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 53c | 225.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Over | 75c | 207.84$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 174.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Over | 75c | 169.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 62c | 152.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 49c | 143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 25c | 131.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 101.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 53c | 97.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 85.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 53c | 78.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 53c | 67.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 66.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 75c | 64.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 32c | 52.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 51c | 51.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 53c | 49.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…6d5abacked Over | 47c | 46.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…3456backed Under | 74c | 45.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 37c | 44.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 26c | 43.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 47c | 32.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 58c | 29.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Over | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…4ebdbacked Over | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 74c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Thailand (-1.5)Kuwait won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 0.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 1.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 3.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 4.5Under won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.