Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d9325217fb912180bf36c8e7a31fa14ac39dd851df9955b57bf1c7464c87130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kuwaitof Thailand, Kuwait
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Thailand | 16c | 1,157$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kuwait | 74c | 1,037$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.02 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Thailand | 16c | 659.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Thailand | 31c | 300.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Kuwait | 71c | 210.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kuwait | 73c | 191$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kuwait | 27c | 149$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Thailand | 73c | 116.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thailand | 78c | 109.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kuwait | 70c | 106$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Kuwait | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Kuwait | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Thailand | 30c | 82.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…0d91backed Kuwait | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Thailand | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Thailand | 31c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kuwait | 70c | 48.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Thailand | 31c | 46.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Kuwait | 78c | 32.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Kuwait | 70c | 30.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Kuwait | 70c | 23.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Kuwait | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thailand (-1.5)this page
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 0.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 1.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 2.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 3.5Over won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 4.5Under won
- Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.