Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15031071b6926d4af221e4180673676c75f01fcfa1d89967679fac38e8b0ec84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 2c | 6,136$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 2c | 1,888$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 43c | 1,079$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.59 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 21c | 761.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.18 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 3c | 556.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 504.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…7b96backed Yes | 40c | 464.69$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 12c | 461.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 36c | 458.57$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.71 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 57c | 440.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.63 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 7c | 423.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 31c | 415.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 4c | 399.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 396.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…b00dbacked Yes | 39c | 382.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Yes | 3c | 367.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 12c | 350.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 5c | 350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 341.11$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.09 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 323.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 42c | 319.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…3159backed Yes | 30c | 317.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…bc46backed Yes | 50c | 315.27$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 44c | 301.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 275.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 271.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 22c | 269.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 38c | 245.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…3b2ebacked Yes | 49c | 212.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 10c | 209.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…2402backed Yes | 28c | 206.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 15c | 199.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…ceb2backed Yes | 68c | 184.6$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 180.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f04…b5a1backed Yes | 6c | 168.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…1725backed Yes | 10c | 167.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…8ac5backed No | 57c | 166.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 39c | 163.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 61c | 162.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 61c | 159.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 60c | 157.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 156.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 49c | 153.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 153$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…6e4ebacked No | 67c | 149.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 35c | 147$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 31c | 145.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 23c | 140.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 47c | 140.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 45c | 137.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 11c | 136.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 32c | 131.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…7bb4backed Yes | 12c | 127.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 31c | 124$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…3e9abacked Yes | 46c | 122.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 26c | 120.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3c3abacked Yes | 9c | 115.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…5396backed Yes | 41c | 114.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 64c | 112.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed No | 65c | 111.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe122…7612backed Yes | 27c | 110.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 38c | 109.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked Yes | 36c | 103.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…d597backed Yes | 46c | 102.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 40c | 101.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 49c | 100.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 16c | 100.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 48c | 100.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…03cbbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…3e88backed Yes | 31c | 99.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 99.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…750bbacked Yes | 31c | 95.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…8f47backed Yes | 28c | 95.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 53c | 94.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…0beabacked Yes | 36c | 93.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…a682backed Yes | 27c | 92.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 35c | 92.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…780dbacked Yes | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 65c | 88.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 69c | 83.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 28c | 81.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 62c | 81.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 36c | 80.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…5875backed Yes | 71c | 78.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…b89cbacked No | 57c | 76.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 107 | 80.4%86 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…c729backed Yes | 50c | 76.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…3239backed Yes | 36c | 75.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4d20backed Yes | 41c | 75.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 73.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 36c | 70.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…d445backed Yes | 51c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 68.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…43a8backed Yes | 34c | 68.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 123 | 17.9%22 W · 101 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 35c | 67.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.