Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x679eb040114ac6b76fabf64a40ac063ed6f7999385057c79a41bbe1538db296a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 1c | 5,966$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 28c | 5,071$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.11 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 45c | 2,915$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.58 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 78c | 2,881$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.39 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 1,878$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.2 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,478$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.06 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 17c | 1,192$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 52c | 1,091$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.89 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 67c | 976.25$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.86 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 877.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 16c | 677$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked No | 3c | 626.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…e0f1backed Yes | 10c | 515.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.75 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 5c | 514.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.97 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 19c | 503.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.87 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Yes | 14c | 501.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.61 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…adbabacked No | 69c | 460.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 18c | 458.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.26 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…91d5backed Yes | 24c | 456.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.09 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 454.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…d478backed No | 74c | 439.32$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 7c | 426.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.76 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Yes | 29c | 420.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…7b96backed Yes | 29c | 414.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 14c | 392.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.28 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed No | 59c | 392.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.25 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 65c | 381.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 6c | 360.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.86 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 47c | 359.85$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.7 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 24c | 324.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.63 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 10c | 316.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.57 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 66c | 308.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…81a6backed Yes | 14c | 299.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Yes | 10c | 280.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.65 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 68c | 280$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 60c | 277.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 8c | 271.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.75 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 26c | 265.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.65 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed Yes | 6c | 251.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.89 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…cb91backed No | 37c | 248.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 20c | 241.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 65c | 226.23$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 14c | 224.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 222.76$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 21c | 222.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…bfa8backed Yes | 15c | 219.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.93 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…33d3backed No | 27c | 209.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 20c | 209.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked Yes | 18c | 199.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 196.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6772…8ef5backed Yes | 7c | 183.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +237%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 33c | 175.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…1167backed Yes | 23c | 173.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 23c | 172.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 172.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 57c | 169.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…13eabacked Yes | 19c | 161.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…3e9abacked Yes | 44c | 156.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 20c | 152.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4d20backed Yes | 16c | 152.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…cf70backed Yes | 13c | 149.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 78c | 144.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 26c | 143.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 8c | 139.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.66 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 25c | 137.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 134.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 24c | 134.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 14c | 133.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…3056backed Yes | 21c | 125.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…278dbacked No | 15c | 125.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…1f9bbacked Yes | 22c | 124.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…d597backed Yes | 30c | 124.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 27c | 118.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 10c | 115.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d62…6690backed Yes | 18c | 112.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9704…c785backed No | 78c | 111.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…f8a3backed Yes | 23c | 109.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…c90cbacked Yes | 36c | 101.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…b5b2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…8bf2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf8…8634backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…dc81backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 52c | 99.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed No | 73c | 99.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…8f47backed No | 28c | 97.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…cefebacked Yes | 15c | 97.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 38c | 97.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…ada0backed No | 80c | 96.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…6942backed Yes | 15c | 91.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 36c | 90.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 34c | 89.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 32c | 88.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 20c | 86.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 75c | 85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.