Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d4cd9dddb30333c4312ca9043b507ab3da0180f61107153b8b0cfc2137564ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,392$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.62 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 9c | 575.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…610bbacked Yes | 27c | 489.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.79 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 11c | 470.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.42 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 30c | 434.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.55 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 46c | 409.86$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 35c | 327.63$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.34 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 69c | 297.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 26c | 289.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.17 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 19c | 273.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f7ffbacked Yes | 22c | 263.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.05 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 21c | 241.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.66 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 225.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 24c | 214.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.61 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 18c | 207.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.62 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 61c | 204.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 80c | 202.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 67c | 199.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 12c | 197.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.96 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…8b09backed Yes | 17c | 185.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…2b8ebacked No | 57c | 168.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…6718backed Yes | 27c | 158.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…2e64backed No | 65c | 158.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 56c | 156.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 24c | 141.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 52c | 137.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…f557backed No | 76c | 130.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 69c | 130$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b9…3d3bbacked No | 77c | 129.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa6…610bbacked Yes | 16c | 123.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 21c | 119.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 114$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 28c | 109.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…ea16backed Yes | 24c | 101.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e9…62a2backed Yes | 49c | 98.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 32c | 95.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked Yes | 64c | 92.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…47a3backed No | 49c | 90.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…db84backed Yes | 24c | 86.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…f4d3backed Yes | 15c | 86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 247 | 70%173 W · 74 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 69c | 85.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…c8f7backed Yes | 68c | 80.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 24c | 78.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…a268backed Yes | 54c | 77.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 22c | 74.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee24…bd15backed No | 39c | 74.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 34c | 71.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 20c | 69.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 78c | 64.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 73c | 63.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed Yes | 32c | 60.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 19c | 59.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed Yes | 34c | 57.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 24c | 56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed Yes | 52c | 53.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…07e7backed No | 49c | 50.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 23c | 48.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked No | 57c | 47.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 34c | 42.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 71c | 42.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked Yes | 52c | 40.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53f…5c8bbacked Yes | 39c | 38.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 61c | 37.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 53c | 36.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed Yes | 46c | 35.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 76c | 32.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 45c | 32.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 73c | 32.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 56c | 32.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…7773backed No | 80c | 31.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed Yes | 53c | 29.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed No | 80c | 28.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed No | 62c | 21.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb44…dc60backed No | 64c | 21.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…f7f7backed Yes | 73c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 65c | 18.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 80c | 14.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…385dbacked No | 77c | 14.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.