Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd70cd79c7a56f4e1654861710787fa6d881e68765125ddeac4cb9edba27501ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,766 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc341…2a60backed Over | 47c | 5,702$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 61c | 3,817$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.15 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 39c | 3,627$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 2,307$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.27 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 1,571$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.62 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,137$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.02 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 629$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.98 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 510.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 401$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.67 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Under | 53c | 377.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 43c | 317.53$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 69c | 269.57$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 57c | 252.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 53c | 190.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 64c | 155.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 69c | 148.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under | 53c | 118.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 54c | 108.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked Over | 75c | 71.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 61c | 64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 64c | 59.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 53c | 56.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 50c | 49.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 25c | 49.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 44c | 42.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 44c | 36.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Under | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 35c | 33.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 36c | 32.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Under | 48c | 24.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 64c | 23.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 52c | 23.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 69c | 22.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +84%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.