Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63adb54693721f7f0fdc51f805fe6a48bc11a78608e78b78aecabd2ee6af0ba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perth Glory FCof Auckland FC, Perth Glory FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,884 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Auckland FC | 43c | 6,740$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.8 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Perth Glory FC | 57c | 6,387$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.23 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Perth Glory FC | 58c | 5,483$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Auckland FC | 43c | 2,962$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.59 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Auckland FC | 42c | 1,419$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.16 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Perth Glory FC | 66c | 799.98$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Auckland FC | 34c | 543.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Auckland FC | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Auckland FC | 42c | 261.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Auckland FC | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Perth Glory FC | 61c | 229$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Auckland FC | 39c | 115$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Auckland FC | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Auckland FC | 24c | 70.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Auckland FC | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Perth Glory FC | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Auckland FC | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Perth Glory FC | 66c | 23.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Perth Glory FC | 57c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…a44cbacked Perth Glory FC | 55c | 19.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)this page
- Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.