Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05465d4560d218877b429c6b86edd2ea9e865c9b12e8de80a6f973d0437ce158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,074 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5ce…5707backed Over | 71c | 3,151$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 430.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 39c | 268.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 194.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Over | 59c | 173.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 16c | 156$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Under | 33c | 107.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 105.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Under | 33c | 91.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 73c | 86.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 58c | 85.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Under | 33c | 85.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 53.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 32.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 63c | 16.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.