TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Chile Open: Cristian Garin vs Sebastian Baez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baezof Garin, Baez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$325,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6748…6c3bbacked Baez70c51,992$36,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,403.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Baez71c32,751$23,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,358.5948851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Baez68c15,161$10,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,851.4427063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Garin30c12,874$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,814.3331332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Garin26c11,734$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.582,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Garin32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Garin37c9,374$3,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,431.3455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Garin30c7,523$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.3438133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Garin32c6,733$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.557,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Garin30c6,666$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.7976146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Baez73c6,053$4,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.6213363.9%85 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Garin30c5,926$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.324448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Baez68c5,415$3,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.2511560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Baez64c5,270$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.6222553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Garin28c4,465$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.511,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Garin29c4,162$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.318,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Baez72c4,094$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.332,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Garin29c4,093$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.851,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Baez69c4,000$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.1544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Garin28c3,285$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.941,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Garin30c3,040$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9121952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Garin32c3,013$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.771,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Baez75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75093055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Baez69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9824643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Garin31c2,813$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.251,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Garin27c2,740$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.846,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Garin1c2,611$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.11755.3%4 W · 71 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Garin43c2,559$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10057249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Baez79c2,539$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.4336968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Garin30c2,522$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.556,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd5…d06bbacked Garin50c2,515$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2504723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade0…e568backed Garin31c2,470$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7546344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…e7f0backed Baez61c2,151$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.94247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Baez75c2,011$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.5644754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Baez60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80044163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Garin29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Garin33c1,986$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.368845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Garin41c1,920$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.531,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Garin30c1,916$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.7140748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2301…c95fbacked Baez74c1,892$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.234759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Garin34c1,869$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.2599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Garin34c1,826$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Garin28c1,800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50411045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Garin28c1,662$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.081,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Baez76c1,634$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.4537854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Garin32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Garin33c1,528$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4813647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Garin33c1,517$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Garin51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7655565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Garin35c1,490$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.6222634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Garin31c1,425$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.382,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Garin29c1,421$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.9662534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Baez73c1,380$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.9711046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Garin30c1,351$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.991,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Garin31c1,345$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.314,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Garin33c1,311$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.6244038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Garin31c1,306$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.712,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Baez67c1,280$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.870652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Garin32c1,253$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Baez73c1,234$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.655267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Garin32c1,234$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Baez80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24074743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Garin26c1,100$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8127231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Garin27c1,077$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3520748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Garin47c1,066$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50165157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7906…db11backed Baez68c995.66$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Garin36c992.53$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.319738.1%37 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…737ebacked Baez69c981.81$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.811154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Garin31c966$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Garin32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Garin29c913$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.891,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Garin30c907.28$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0846649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Garin34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baez64c855.6$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Garin38c852.85$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32046030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcd9…0c53backed Garin30c843.36$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Garin31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24814536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Garin35c797.36$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.272542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Garin28c757$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9695140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Garin15c756.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4868026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Baez48c742.16$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.334250%21 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Garin33c685.2$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.121,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Baez73c653.73$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.736168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Baez67c623.11$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.638143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Garin31c620$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.287251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Baez70c585.71$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7158359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Garin30c560.47$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1673,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Garin18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Baez74c550$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14317867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Garin29c545.68$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2526545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cf…197abacked Baez63c544.06$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Baez70c542.86$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.861,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8235…b2d0backed Garin43c540.19$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Baez71c528$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5524060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Baez71c508$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3246553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Baez70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Garin32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606639.4%26 W · 40 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Baez67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16523945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Garin13c491.14$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1745343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Garin28c473.62$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.611,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.