TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No69c8,700$6,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.755,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes28c7,699$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.561030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c5,030$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.658,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No65c3,218$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.751,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c2,898$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.211,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes39c2,811$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.2340242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c2,407$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.163,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes43c2,247$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.792560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c1,648$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.522,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes43c1,016$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.071,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes38c983.07$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5712541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c979.34$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.181,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c954.2$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.343928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No69c914.17$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5516255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes31c865$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.612827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Yes41c823.44$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.611936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c743.38$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.561,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes33c723.09$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.36731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Yes40c699.92$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2751…50cebacked Yes2c640.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No73c632.41$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.949361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes32c629.83$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.052425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No73c591.22$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5210456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes24c544.66$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.898137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes36c507.57$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.216043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No67c500.84$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.282,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.82433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Yes41c470.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes40c403.38$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.352850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes43c402.41$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0419963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes37c390.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.332142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked Yes6c380.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No73c349.23$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.467660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No36c343.07$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5621251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes6c317.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8711819.5%23 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No74c309.9$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.166451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c277.9$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.641,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85ee…9f27backed Yes14c271.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.941145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick24cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No62c256.74$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.561,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No65c250.86$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.714374.4%32 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes41c249.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.495648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes38c238.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.465345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes37c231.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.765042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No63c206.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.495962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No63c198.79$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.553366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c192.52$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.311,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes37c186.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.644738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x100c…1c2cbacked Yes28c181.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.255155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c178.64$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.791,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes38c177.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed No72c171.58$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.761136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x688d…9417backed Yes40c168.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes37c161.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.891,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes40c159.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.622951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No38c150.13$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No66c149.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.187957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Yes40c139.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yes36c127.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.236850%34 W · 34 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.212439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed No43c114.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.263650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No70c109.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.148964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17b8…5049backed Yes40c108.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.471540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Yes43c107.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.363438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d7…824dbacked Yes41c105.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e07…0163backed Yes40c101.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.731338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…1a89backed Yes43c101.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.463748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No43c100.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.31,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Yes40c96.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes40c96.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5676951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2544…6221backed Yes27c95.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.71526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes38c88.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.74055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f6…f0d9backed Yes35c82.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked No75c81.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.533953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No70c80.91$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes36c79.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.881369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No46c79.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5823254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No63c77.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4236757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked No67c74.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.823070%21 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes32c74.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.871619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes42c74.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1510033%33 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1898…61e6backed Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No67c70.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.586369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No62c69.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2533560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No62c69.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2528158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No62c69.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No62c69.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2512361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed Yes57c68.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b03…13eebacked Yes28c68.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.234643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Yes32c67.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbed…26febacked Yes43c62.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Yes44c62.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.64977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No72c61.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.498740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes31c61.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.883444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.15226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.16342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked No66c59.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.331681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Yes17c59.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.