South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc487e2b68e4a2bc84c1d79ecd071b38d46b5d02c78664b20caca35f7d9ee4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,733$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.27 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 1,687$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.24 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,648$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.24 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 26c | 1,433$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.68 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 1,297$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.17 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 77c | 1,025$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.7 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 640.64$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 604.62$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 570.27$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 26c | 512.06$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 16c | 450.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 390.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 13c | 359.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 67c | 329.56$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 26c | 310.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 26c | 310.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 26c | 310.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 279.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 272.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Yes | 24c | 263.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 239.37$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 225.12$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes | 24c | 169.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 30c | 160.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…9f27backed No | 30c | 157.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 76c | 151.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 76c | 149.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 77c | 147.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 30c | 142.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 76c | 133.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 74c | 111.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked Yes | 17c | 110.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 108.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 59c | 105.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef6f…a9b2backed Yes | 26c | 71.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 65c | 69.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…fe66backed Yes | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Yes | 29c | 65.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 77c | 60.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 70c | 58.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 55.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 32c | 55.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Yes | 25c | 53.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 51.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…9d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 70c | 50.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 69c | 49.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 77c | 47.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 30c | 46.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…0afcbacked No | 72c | 45.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Yes | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 40.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed No | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed No | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked No | 77c | 31.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 75c | 31.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 77c | 29.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…6cd9backed No | 75c | 20.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 77c | 20.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 78c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 77c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 77c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked No | 79c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 76c | 17.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed No | 72c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…c339backed No | 76c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 77c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.