South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd69c305974ad57e5e20541bfaf38d5e0a27f3b96b541c5a5bd53ab753da6cbf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 8,810$5,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,479.93 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 4,069$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 55c | 1,915$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.93 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 1,249$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.46 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 34c | 1,139$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.83 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 40c | 834.95$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.98 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 825.79$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.9 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 42c | 699.57$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.41 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 558.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 557.44$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.12 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…8230backed Yes | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 29c | 467.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.59 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 48c | 399.54$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 23c | 371.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 351.81$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 318.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 79c | 296.22$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 34c | 189.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 22c | 173.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 35c | 171.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 67c | 167.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 60c | 162.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked No | 29c | 158.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 13c | 140.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 34c | 137.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…8488backed Yes | 22c | 134.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 46c | 126.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Yes | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 34c | 115.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed No | 52c | 112.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 57c | 107.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed No | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 93.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 90.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 75c | 89.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…f0d9backed Yes | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 84.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 72c | 67.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 45c | 62.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked No | 19c | 57.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 34c | 54.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 45.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 43.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 43.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Yes | 40c | 38.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Yes | 34c | 37.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 55c | 36.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 55c | 34.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 49c | 33.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 72c | 32.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 55c | 31.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 55c | 30.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 38c | 27.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 52c | 27.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes | 63c | 25.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Yes | 54c | 24.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 54c | 20.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Yes | 51c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.