South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eec59e01470b72978c3eb8d56e7610e1e53db931b6fc627b1cd4f6c489c304b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 1c | 8,721$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 3,150$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 79c | 2,611$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.26 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 80c | 1,584$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,229$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.36 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 4c | 1,122$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 71c | 1,100$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.2 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 23c | 999.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 18c | 998.52$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 14c | 822.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 79c | 640.22$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 430$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 405.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 80c | 393.55$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 79c | 351.63$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 17c | 292.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 20c | 266.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 73c | 256.37$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…9acabacked Yes | 17c | 241.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 22c | 212.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 18c | 205.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 21c | 200.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 22c | 179.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 80c | 174.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 22c | 168.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 24c | 164.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…988fbacked No | 79c | 157.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 79c | 152.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 73c | 139$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 18c | 121.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 17c | 119.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 119.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 68c | 112.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 93.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 88.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 17c | 77.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Yes | 25c | 54.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 20c | 51.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 28c | 39.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 73c | 25.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 22.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.