South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52641a64e67451e7da0da296d2aa2c94592477b0b629503999a087a1a308bd2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 8,888$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.35 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 56c | 4,200$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.32 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 2,323$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,145$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 16c | 1,120$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 9c | 475.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 276$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 193.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed No | 26c | 186.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 17c | 134.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed No | 34c | 123.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked No | 47c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…b368backed No | 17c | 93.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 86.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 57c | 66.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 68c | 46.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…8e90backed No | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 69c | 27.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 51c | 22.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 19.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 72c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?this page
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.