South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c04707c20ef965712c1c7fa136965e28edb9e394674af9cded2ba83c2771dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 23c | 10,870$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.09 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 10,231$7,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 3,660$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 27c | 1,769$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.68 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 29c | 1,723$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,253$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.77 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 831.84$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 397.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 24c | 278.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…f5e2backed Yes | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 77c | 194.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 77c | 187.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked No | 74c | 182.45$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed No | 73c | 179.28$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Yes | 23c | 171.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 169.28$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 29c | 163.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 128.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 16c | 114.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Yes | 23c | 103.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 73c | 101.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 64c | 98.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 74.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 70.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 26c | 67.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 77c | 63.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 60.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 55.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked No | 77c | 51.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 73c | 47.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 43.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 41.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 40.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 40.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 36c | 39.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 76c | 37.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 77c | 35.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 36c | 31.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 30.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 64c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 64c | 25.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 74c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 74c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will EC Vitória vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.