South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d086256e45d0fe47a207c5a69454151cb4cf6d2d924bcf0d3a98b00bc400c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 30c | 9,900$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes | 10c | 9,200$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 8,237$5,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.91 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 2,786$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.48 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 1,551$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,256$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 3c | 1,196$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 70c | 1,091$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.3 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 29c | 990.41$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 8c | 868.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 12c | 789.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 29c | 542.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 8c | 474.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 7c | 472.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 72c | 149.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Yes | 12c | 142.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 139.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 122.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 10c | 121.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 11c | 104.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…1fc0backed Yes | 32c | 90.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 84.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 71c | 74.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 65.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…d6e3backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 62.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 73c | 60.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 59.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa443…aaf3backed No | 70c | 56.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 71c | 50.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 22c | 48.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3720…a4c9backed Yes | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 27c | 45.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 71c | 44.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd808…41b9backed Yes | 30c | 41.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3b…2c2ebacked Yes | 28c | 39.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 71c | 33.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 73c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.