South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdae5d837b34ca53d2c996f099bc360664712855741fbba1dec6e31fd9d337b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 2,682$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.92 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 1,331$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.65 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 751.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 31c | 618.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 70c | 466.8$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 438.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 262.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 14c | 200.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 20c | 143.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 118.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 116.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 31c | 105.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 95.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Yes | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 16c | 75.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 21c | 64.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 21c | 64.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 21c | 64.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 21c | 64.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 21c | 64.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 69c | 43.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 31c | 39.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 36.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 70c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.