TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, FaZe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$680,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$704,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked FaZe22c147,550$32,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,461.0742440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed Natus Vincere78c125,629$97,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,638.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed FaZe22c78,394$16,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,887.5525842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed FaZe22c63,025$13,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,865.4310142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Natus Vincere78c56,000$43,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,3202948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FaZe21c28,005$5,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,979.725,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed FaZe20c25,944$5,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,188.835156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FaZe1c25,922$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.343,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Natus Vincere78c21,184$16,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,660.4829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere80c20,000$15,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9838358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Natus Vincere78c17,410$13,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,830.261752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Natus Vincere78c15,600$12,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,43210138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Natus Vincere80c14,399$11,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.8922354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Natus Vincere78c13,402$10,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.3613850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked FaZe7c12,970$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.065742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed FaZe19c12,623$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.0267041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed FaZe20c12,300$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4606737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FaZe15c11,319$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6891,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed FaZe13c10,547$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.835442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked FaZe0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Natus Vincere79c10,000$7,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FaZe11c8,990$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.0441040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked FaZe19c7,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.9916245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5460…7d0ebacked FaZe6c6,642$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick28cpaid+79.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked FaZe5c6,637$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.7329127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48a…3594backed Natus Vincere78c5,128$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.214740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed FaZe20c5,070$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0144032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed FaZe20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FaZe6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed FaZe14c4,997$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010055%55 W · 45 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked FaZe20c4,914$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.8926045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Natus Vincere78c4,554$3,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.8827940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FaZe19c4,011$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.881,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Natus Vincere78c3,462$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.548032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Natus Vincere78c3,300$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72633452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Natus Vincere78c3,200$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70412253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere77c2,975$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.2372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed FaZe22c2,955$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere78c2,934$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.4840140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed FaZe17c2,842$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.7520554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FaZe11c2,663$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.751,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked FaZe17c2,535$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.464517.8%8 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f23…4761backed FaZe1c2,514$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FaZe7c2,510$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb971…47a1backed FaZe9c2,407$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked FaZe20c2,400$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48021424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed FaZe19c2,308$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.831533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Natus Vincere80c2,131$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.254276.2%32 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Natus Vincere80c2,033$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.6922358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Natus Vincere78c2,026$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.366956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FaZe5c2,008$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.391,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked Natus Vincere78c1,884$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FaZe18c1,750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed FaZe20c1,722$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.495648.2%27 W · 29 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d30…e152backed Natus Vincere79c1,707$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick72cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FaZe1c1,675$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.622,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed FaZe19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9913732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22cd…e192backed FaZe20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-51.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed FaZe19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9926743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2b…19a4backed FaZe7c1,499$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.95923.7%14 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Natus Vincere78c1,373$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.0319642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Natus Vincere78c1,360$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1311253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FaZe19c1,300$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24755236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FaZe8c1,286$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8649646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Natus Vincere78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0517460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed FaZe13c1,249$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5120150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked FaZe23c1,230$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28352636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FaZe21c1,200$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed FaZe8c1,124$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.244736.2%17 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Natus Vincere80c1,113$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.527751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed FaZe9c1,109$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked FaZe21c1,089$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.37054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed FaZe8c1,042$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3542638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed FaZe23c1,020$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FaZe5c1,014$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6897040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FaZe12c1,010$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked FaZe20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed FaZe5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked Natus Vincere78c960$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.25867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed FaZe20c959.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.943554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfac2…f35fbacked FaZe8c949.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.331030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-56.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked FaZe11c926.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1748319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Natus Vincere80c924.54$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6421060%126 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff89…a94abacked FaZe7c896.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.24434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere77c887.96$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.231,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Natus Vincere79c884.04$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.659047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Natus Vincere78c850.74$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1635947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb126…f338backed FaZe16c812.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7210646.2%49 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Natus Vincere78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17625145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked FaZe23c796.13$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1127552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked FaZe19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked FaZe10c787.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2566034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FaZe17c774.74$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.711,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked Natus Vincere78c743.12$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.493351.5%17 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FaZe18c727.79$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3652837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed FaZe7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98da…f3c6backed Natus Vincere80c703.75$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed FaZe20c700$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14218338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed Natus Vincere80c677.55$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.512867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed FaZe10c673.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.344223.8%10 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.