TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, FaZe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed FaZe37c43,085$15,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,921.0922049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere58c41,181$23,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,347.0676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed FaZe48c32,539$15,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,618.4810142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed FaZe47c21,414$10,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,064.3625842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Natus Vincere53c18,868$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,867.9216443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed FaZe47c17,231$8,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,093.5367041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Natus Vincere53c14,000$7,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,58014954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.0550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere30c9,932$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,954.4765546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed FaZe47c8,231$3,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,866.4233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked FaZe45c7,354$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,309.0916245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Natus Vincere54c5,793$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.0233452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FaZe35c5,667$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.8598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed FaZe43c5,571$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.2323848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed FaZe43c5,120$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.8536645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Natus Vincere77c5,084$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.827755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere57c4,776$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.3325555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere53c4,221$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.9821945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FaZe47c3,390$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.7671645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Natus Vincere53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked FaZe21c2,127$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.2624538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed FaZe46c1,994$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.913850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Natus Vincere54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82816653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed FaZe45c1,696$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.9526743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked FaZe42c1,633$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.041,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked FaZe26c1,580$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.421,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Natus Vincere52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2812950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…9213backed Natus Vincere56c1,070$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.742441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FaZe47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Natus Vincere52c1,036$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.3111249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed Natus Vincere58c1,032$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.645244.2%23 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FaZe48c1,017$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Natus Vincere53c1,010$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Natus Vincere56c1,008$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.6522358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FaZe44c1,007$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4431,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Natus Vincere63c973.08$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.0839157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Natus Vincere29c966.06$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.943237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe807…307cbacked FaZe45c956.59$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Natus Vincere53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.414044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Natus Vincere54c901.15$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.1529052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FaZe37c865$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.071,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Natus Vincere57c800.5$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.529052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Natus Vincere53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37612148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed FaZe42c761.11$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.364261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Natus Vincere65c755.25$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0427552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked Natus Vincere55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Natus Vincere55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31542050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed Natus Vincere56c699.99$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3118740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Natus Vincere55c645.45$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4515363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Natus Vincere53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0416248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Natus Vincere53c547.17$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1723354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Natus Vincere55c507.27$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2798856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FaZe43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed FaZe44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed FaZe25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Natus Vincere54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9935940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Natus Vincere55c499.94$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9767651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a38…4e1abacked FaZe45c493.73$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Natus Vincere55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5520059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked FaZe46c431.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked FaZe22c414.32$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1519642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Natus Vincere54c399.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18449849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked Natus Vincere55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.992065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1e8…193fbacked Natus Vincere68c379.98$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc9…4df4backed Natus Vincere53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb759…ed73backed Natus Vincere53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3610851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed FaZe42c366.09$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7231642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked FaZe45c363.64$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.649047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed FaZe25c361.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5545244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Natus Vincere54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6719238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2236450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0887…bf3bbacked Natus Vincere53c352.83$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.833345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere53c320.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7532542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Natus Vincere53c311.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3226443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed FaZe48c306.25$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14721263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2179…eee0backed Natus Vincere56c300.47$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.431844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Natus Vincere57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.58852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed Natus Vincere53c285$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.959268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3145…fcf5backed Natus Vincere58c281.45$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2512761.4%78 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked Natus Vincere53c254.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6218043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked Natus Vincere53c246$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.625855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed FaZe34c241.73$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2522650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Natus Vincere73c229.57$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.921,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Natus Vincere52c226.86$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8628556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed FaZe42c224.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4950947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Natus Vincere53c224.53$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5333156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked FaZe46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed FaZe45c204.43$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1942757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…c323backed Natus Vincere53c202.86$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.345070%35 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Natus Vincere58c202.5$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.654951%25 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Natus Vincere52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9658343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Natus Vincere78c198.72$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7235466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Natus Vincere54c191.93$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.698359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Natus Vincere52c190$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.22445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Natus Vincere73c187.67$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6765662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Natus Vincere78c187.66$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2993261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.