CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660ee770bfdf4631859517842f9aec15f4e9d9ee5b41aa8c6f2d12f20de8ac63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 39c | 2,535$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 74c | 1,553$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.66 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 61c | 1,392$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.04 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 24c | 860.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.57 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…a4edbacked Over | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +258.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 781.01$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.57 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 55c | 757$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 61c | 552.57$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.53 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 61c | 441.21$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 79c | 425.74$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Under | 72c | 419.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over | 17c | 414.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Over | 38c | 374.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Under | 62c | 310$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 80c | 290$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 23c | 281.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 70c | 218.88$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 31c | 161.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 33c | 153.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 66c | 134.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 42c | 119.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Under | 79c | 114.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 31c | 109.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 28c | 98.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 31c | 94.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…f81cbacked Under | 69c | 92.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 80c | 83.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 78c | 82.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 24c | 81.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…3cf4backed Under | 54c | 72.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…e545backed Under | 79c | 67.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…e049backed Over | 66c | 66.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Under | 36c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Under | 77c | 64.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Over | 22c | 60.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Over | 27c | 59.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 55c | 53.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…4761backed Over | 19c | 53.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 29c | 50.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 61c | 41.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 31c | 37.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…abfebacked Under | 79c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 32c | 32.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Under | 62c | 28.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…6bd3backed Under | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…ad35backed Over | 40c | 25.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…46a2backed Under | 80c | 24.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 68c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Under | 61c | 16.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…253abacked Under | 80c | 13.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.