Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: England (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb6fa529451ebffe7d54cdbe499e897a130eba792abde847030e6ffa15e9ae0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DR Congoof England, DR Congo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed England | 3c | 97,664$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed England | 10c | 16,222$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.14 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed England | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed England | 12c | 6,820$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.9 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed England | 12c | 5,742$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed England | 12c | 5,346$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.47 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked England | 1c | 4,298$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked England | 1c | 2,003$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked England | 9c | 1,974$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed England | 2c | 1,511$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked England | 1c | 1,375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed England | 11c | 1,161$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed England | 12c | 1,005$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked England | 12c | 999.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed England | 10c | 765$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked England | 12c | 717.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked England | 4c | 694$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed England | 2c | 664.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed England | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed England | 13c | 456.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed England | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked England | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked England | 11c | 422.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed England | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392f…7210backed England | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…c8b3backed England | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed England | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…d976backed England | 12c | 340$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 31cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed England | 8c | 334.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked England | 11c | 308.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked England | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed England | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked England | 11c | 231.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked England | 13c | 229.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e9…57f2backed England | 7c | 211.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed England | 8c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed England | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked England | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed England | 11c | 160.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8a…9f56backed England | 11c | 147.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked England | 12c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed England | 11c | 119.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…3c02backed England | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…a3c3backed England | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 159 | 37.1%59 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: England (-3.5)this page
- England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceEngland won
- England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)England won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-4.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-5.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.