TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73e9…57f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$12.12
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.28
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+183.4%+$41.14
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$53.27
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+191.6%+$29.95
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.94
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.32
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+558.2%+$176.91
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+181.2%+$27.7
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+104.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+226.4%+$35.43
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+170.1%+$20.99
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+742%+$140.76
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+166%+$26.06
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+445.4%+$52.95
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winnerbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+232.5%+$23.82
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+212.8%+$21.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$16.66
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$15.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$18.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.