TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$494,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over5c137,363$6,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,288.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over20c25,918$5,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,156.091,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over9c19,893$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.131,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over12c11,386$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.024,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over12c8,898$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c8,070$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.823,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over11c7,817$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.861,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over14c6,482$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.111,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over12c6,427$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.2770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over13c4,954$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.321,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c3,534$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.392,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over4c3,346$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c3,311$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.192,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c2,657$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over2c2,595$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.25626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27547235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over11c2,211$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1743635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over11c2,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under76c1,900$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4565863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over6c1,767$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.112,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over4c1,678$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2538437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over10c1,526$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Over13c1,523$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.664641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over13c1,371$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over7c1,332$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6237944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over4c1,306$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2410761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under75c1,277$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1810356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under79c1,265$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.8823353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…a27abacked Over12c1,233$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c1,231$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.232,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over12c1,082$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.941,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Over10c916.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over11c802.06$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2330345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over11c782.13$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0336031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over13c745.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9612117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over4c696.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.811,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over11c517.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8171939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under80c500.63$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.635666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ff…b050backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011234.8%39 W · 73 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over11c499.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over23c496.44$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9338745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over7c490$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over12c467.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2525737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over11c436$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.961,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over11c416.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0367…e7fbbacked Over13c369.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.997319.2%14 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over12c367.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1526243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f4c…14ddbacked Over12c343.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over11c335.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5184844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Over12c316.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over12c311$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3268141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Over25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over12c293.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2318827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over4c287.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7978234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c8…165fbacked Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674564.4%29 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b2…55f4backed Over12c260$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305223.1%12 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3121…967cbacked Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd938…885dbacked Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over18c235.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4623736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Over11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214119.9%28 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x73e9…57f2backed Over10c197.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.723721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Under79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.877272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over11c167$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.371,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e0…001cbacked Over12c166.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202313%3 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea06…47c9backed Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Over22c150.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7173536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Over13c149.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4116052.5%84 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Over10c149$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.921450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Under78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.68170.4%57 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over12c129.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610643.4%46 W · 60 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3019…5596backed Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under74c114.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under76c102$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4822058.2%128 W · 92 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4137237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fa…363ebacked Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-61.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under75c68.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2362633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b7…ad02backed Under78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.119052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32dc…b4f5backed Under61c61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.792744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.