Spread: England (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x807a61b7d11e380b0d5dc18a85e32321174988cfc8b8fe5420bed654efc87adb

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: DR Congoof England, DR Congo
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $531,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $539,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,614 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked DR Congo	74c	70,812$52,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,411.13	41	78%32 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+35%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed England	26c	65,000$16,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,900	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England	21c	35,491$7,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,299.64	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked England	5c	25,000$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,374.3	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed DR Congo	78c	22,506$17,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,964.92	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England	9c	21,039$1,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,936.4	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England	7c	14,317$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.2	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed England	25c	12,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed England	26c	10,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb9…be64backed England	27c	7,016$1,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,894.24	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked England	0c	6,979$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.52	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed DR Congo	74c	6,757$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,757.42	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked England	5c	5,398$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.88	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffd5…7889backed England	11c	5,141$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed England	3c	5,056$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.66	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed England	25c	4,629$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.23	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed DR Congo	79c	4,405$3,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.02	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked England	4c	4,154$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.66	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed DR Congo	75c	4,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed DR Congo	74c	3,870$2,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.23	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0805…a0d1backed England	1c	3,298$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England	25c	2,838$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.03	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed England	26c	2,692$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed England	27c	2,552$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed DR Congo	72c	2,270$1,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.87	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England	1c	2,106$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England	11c	2,027$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.94	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd48…0074backed England	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	+7.3wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed DR Congo	73c	2,000$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146a…9cedbacked England	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	50	42%21 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked England	10c	1,868$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.96	350	34.3%120 W · 230 L	-24.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed England	1c	1,755$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed England	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+20%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed DR Congo	73c	1,497$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.25	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked England	14c	1,439$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	96	30.2%29 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked England	2c	1,379$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked England	23c	1,331$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.29	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0002…25ffbacked England	26c	1,154$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	72	22.2%16 W · 56 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked England	27c	1,050$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.53	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed England	24c	900$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed England	7c	856.12$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.36	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed DR Congo	74c	800$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed England	11c	781.14$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.68	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed England	25c	771$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.75	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed England	26c	758.88$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.31	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked England	25c	724.72$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.18	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x877e…5f22backed DR Congo	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	113	35.4%40 W · 73 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked DR Congo	73c	647.01$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.54	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef2…d5c5backed England	26c	615.38$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked England	27c	600$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked DR Congo	75c	575.39$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.85	75	29.3%22 W · 53 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked England	2c	555.61$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed England	27c	555.56$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked England	25c	511.11$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb202…04adbacked DR Congo	76c	509.78$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.47	80	71.3%57 W · 23 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked England	26c	500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	389	24.4%95 W · 294 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed DR Congo	74c	500$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33d2…d976backed England	19c	490$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.5	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-4.4wins	-0.26per pick	31cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed England	27c	481.48$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	242	42.6%103 W · 139 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed England	26c	480.77$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	206	26.2%54 W · 152 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed DR Congo	72c	448$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.44	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England	26c	431.85$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.74	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed DR Congo	73c	424.27$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.55	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked England	26c	414.31$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.72	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed DR Congo	74c	411.85$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.21	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked England	26c	404$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.04	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed DR Congo	72c	400.81$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.23	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked England	24c	400$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed England	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed DR Congo	75c	398.73$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.68	92	37%34 W · 58 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94f…0cc8backed England	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	146	41.1%60 W · 86 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed England	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed England	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e7…f81cbacked England	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	10.8%10 W · 83 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed DR Congo	75c	375$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.65	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed England	25c	374.4$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	347	51%177 W · 170 L	+19.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1505…bb07backed England	25c	372$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x392f…7210backed England	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0553…e967backed England	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	120	23.3%28 W · 92 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed England	28c	357.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	25.7%29 W · 84 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed DR Congo	75c	353.01$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.25	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked England	25c	345.68$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.42	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.12per pick	27cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed DR Congo	74c	337.18$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.67	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed England	28c	314.32$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.01	276	41.3%114 W · 162 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed DR Congo	73c	300.08$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.02	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed England	24c	300$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed DR Congo	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed DR Congo	74c	300$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	473	21.6%102 W · 371 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f5…9ed6backed England	27c	290.93$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.55	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe45e…5981backed DR Congo	75c	289.92$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.48	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked England	15c	289$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.99	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked DR Congo	74c	270.47$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.47	256	46.5%119 W · 137 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6aefbacked DR Congo	75c	266.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed DR Congo	76c	263.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.16	284	44.4%126 W · 158 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed England	11c	254.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	143	17.5%25 W · 118 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a3…6599backed DR Congo	79c	253.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.83	117	51.3%60 W · 57 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked England	24c	250$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.45	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked England	24c	250$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.22	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked DR Congo	75c	217.18$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.74	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed England	26c	212.88$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.35	139	43.9%61 W · 78 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: England (-2.5)this page
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceEngland won
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)England won
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-3.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-4.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-5.5)DR Congo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: England (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event