TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,778 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over28c689$193 inLost-$192.9282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over30c250$75 inLost-$7514949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under79c141.94$112 inWon+$302,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over17c120.29$20 inLost-$20.443,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over27c109.32$30 inLost-$29.932,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c107.37$32 inLost-$32.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over19c105.26$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over17c94.82$16 inLost-$16.122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…e6c9backed Under72c83.33$60 inWon+$23.333868.4%26 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under69c64.3$44 inWon+$19.9358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bd…3ecfbacked Over33c61.18$20 inLost-$2016230.2%49 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over29c41.38$12 inLost-$1217240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Under68c40$27 inWon+$12.87460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under74c39.76$29 inWon+$10.322,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5276…800dbacked Under74c30.22$22 inWon+$7.8612046.7%56 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeff4…88d2backed Under77c25.97$20 inWon+$5.973873.7%28 W · 10 L+0.2wins0.00per pick73cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under80c20$16 inWon+$41,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.