TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marozsanof Marozsan, Rinderknech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x779a…ca34backed Marozsan51c10,027$5,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,941.944060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Rinderknech51c8,007$4,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,077.4876146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Rinderknech49c7,777$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,822.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Marozsan52c5,442$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.356541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Rinderknech50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Rinderknech49c4,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20557939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marozsan71c3,862$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rinderknech48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Marozsan50c3,030$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.1639144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Marozsan49c2,808$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.2114940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Rinderknech22c2,310$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.28825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Rinderknech49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Marozsan49c1,614$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.742,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marozsan50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Rinderknech26c1,271$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.419023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Marozsan49c1,145$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.978152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Marozsan51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Marozsan51c976.33$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.893055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Marozsan52c874.45$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.741,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Marozsan50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40027944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Marozsan51c648.51$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3162,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Marozsan52c637.78$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.1319043.7%83 W · 107 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Marozsan50c573$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4625433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rinderknech15c513.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.422,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Rinderknech48c499.54$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.067040%28 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Marozsan50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011650.9%59 W · 57 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Marozsan76c378.18$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.822,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Marozsan70c344.39$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9528139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Marozsan51c332.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1722344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Marozsan49c298.61$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Marozsan52c286.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.543441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Rinderknech14c250.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Marozsan72c237.51$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.382,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Marozsan52c231$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8812439.5%49 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rinderknech9c225$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.254599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Rinderknech23c220.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa402…4d84backed Rinderknech49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Rinderknech9c199.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Rinderknech49c199$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5122840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Marozsan52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Marozsan52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.316150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Marozsan50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8016158.4%94 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Rinderknech41c157.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7122236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f8f…8ed0backed Rinderknech26c155.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Marozsan57c146.23$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.172,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614b…2509backed Marozsan79c127.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.383647.2%17 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Rinderknech49c122.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8925743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fb…f935backed Marozsan52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.386055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Marozsan79c106$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.742857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7373…074dbacked Rinderknech49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Rinderknech50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Rinderknech28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Rinderknech50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.226247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Rinderknech10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fc…d2a7backed Rinderknech50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x523f…260dbacked Marozsan52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+143.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…dc37backed Marozsan52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15e…8cacbacked Rinderknech49c85.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6921361.5%131 W · 82 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Marozsan51c83.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.92,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Marozsan78c77.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3116144.7%72 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Rinderknech29c70.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb36c…ea7bbacked Marozsan52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rinderknech45c61.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.758,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Marozsan75c53.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3321949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked Rinderknech48c52.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.353043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Rinderknech49c51.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.028549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rinderknech24c50.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.041,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Marozsan49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Marozsan49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55425.9%14 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6526…9c80backed Marozsan52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Marozsan51c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0789364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09e…d061backed Marozsan52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.681457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x540f…cf12backed Marozsan52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb220…5f71backed Rinderknech52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb490…91e7backed Marozsan52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.467647.4%36 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59a4…3fd8backed Rinderknech32c34.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d74…bb57backed Marozsan56c32.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.141850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Marozsan52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8588446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2501…6154backed Marozsan49c28.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.372552%13 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Marozsan51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7217746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Marozsan51c25.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7336464.3%234 W · 130 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Marozsan52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1267836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe759…3648backed Marozsan75c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.515551.6%80 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Rinderknech51c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Marozsan67c20.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9314947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Marozsan52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.634851.1%178 W · 170 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82b…e65abacked Marozsan67c17.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.