Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41754323c64aac9010259099e0bb2109b3583431e165265d34f684237668ccd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurkaczof Hurkacz, Bergs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bergs | 30c | 33,140$10,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,045.34 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Hurkacz | 69c | 26,938$18,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,339.71 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Hurkacz | 70c | 15,636$10,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,690.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hurkacz | 71c | 9,802$6,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Hurkacz | 71c | 5,833$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.99 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Bergs | 37c | 5,585$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.12 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Hurkacz | 70c | 5,500$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Bergs | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Bergs | 29c | 4,571$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.12 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bergs | 24c | 4,081$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.87 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bergs | 25c | 4,009$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Hurkacz | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bergs | 30c | 3,959$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.82 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hurkacz | 50c | 3,777$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.1 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bergs | 31c | 2,687$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Hurkacz | 70c | 2,600$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Hurkacz | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Bergs | 29c | 2,424$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.55 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Hurkacz | 72c | 2,305$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bergs | 30c | 2,303$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.86 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hurkacz | 59c | 2,238$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.06 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Bergs | 50c | 2,089$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.94 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Hurkacz | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bergs | 24c | 1,811$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.15 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Bergs | 56c | 1,781$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.04 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Hurkacz | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Hurkacz | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bergs | 31c | 1,379$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.18 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bergs | 23c | 1,307$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.34 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Bergs | 31c | 1,293$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.7 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bergs | 30c | 1,182$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.72 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Bergs | 52c | 980.73$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.89 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Hurkacz | 52c | 928.45$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.78 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Hurkacz | 47c | 910.06$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.92 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bergs | 30c | 874.58$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.32 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bergs | 31c | 776.09$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.28 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bergs | 36c | 741.07$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Bergs | 24c | 721.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Hurkacz | 68c | 705.85$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.23 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Bergs | 42c | 617.75$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.85 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bergs | 29c | 572.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Hurkacz | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Hurkacz | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Bergs | 58c | 487.93$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Bergs | 27c | 470.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bergs | 30c | 465$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Bergs | 27c | 454.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Hurkacz | 59c | 452.32$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Bergs | 31c | 445.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Hurkacz | 69c | 436.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bergs | 25c | 427.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Hurkacz | 50c | 419$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Bergs | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Bergs | 50c | 399.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Bergs | 31c | 390$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hurkacz | 72c | 385.12$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bergs | 25c | 384.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Bergs | 29c | 365.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Hurkacz | 73c | 342.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2254backed Hurkacz | 70c | 317.14$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Bergs | 20c | 304.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bergs | 31c | 290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Hurkacz | 73c | 283.83$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Bergs | 48c | 248.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Hurkacz | 53c | 227.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Bergs | 51c | 215$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…e2fcbacked Bergs | 33c | 201.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…02e2backed Hurkacz | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Bergs | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Bergs | 51c | 195.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Bergs | 31c | 191.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…a94abacked Hurkacz | 77c | 185.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked Bergs | 61c | 183.74$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Bergs | 55c | 179.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…bc44backed Bergs | 31c | 163.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…074dbacked Bergs | 32c | 154.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x656b…afbcbacked Hurkacz | 51c | 153.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Bergs | 31c | 152.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Bergs | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bergs | 24c | 150.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Bergs | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Hurkacz | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Hurkacz | 76c | 146.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…5b3fbacked Bergs | 31c | 145.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…70d3backed Hurkacz | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Hurkacz | 71c | 141.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Hurkacz | 70c | 141$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Hurkacz | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Hurkacz | 72c | 126.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Bergs | 34c | 117.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Hurkacz | 71c | 117$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Bergs | 28c | 116.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…9f95backed Hurkacz | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Hurkacz | 71c | 104.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Bergs | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Bergs | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…1c13backed Hurkacz | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Hurkacz | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurkacz | 75c | 90.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Bergs | 31c | 82.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergsthis page
- Hurkacz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Hurkacz vs. Bergs: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs BergsBergs won
- Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)Hurkacz won
- Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-2.5) vs Bergs (+2.5)Bergs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.