NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9abf2a379512d6562847e8e6e23dc32da3c04e5e80da39f48634226cea379e87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Oilers, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $588,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 790 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Devils | 50c | 200,000$99,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,550.39 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Oilers | 50c | 93,949$47,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,351.08 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Devils | 50c | 51,339$25,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,669.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Oilers | 50c | 39,018$19,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,509.19 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Devils | 75c | 34,202$25,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,465.42 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Devils | 48c | 30,095$14,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,551.29 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…ded0backed Oilers | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Oilers | 50c | 25,754$12,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,965.15 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Oilers | 16c | 24,923$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.72 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Oilers | 50c | 24,291$12,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,135.01 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Oilers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers | 52c | 14,010$7,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,238.11 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Devils | 50c | 13,721$6,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.7 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 50c | 9,760$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.42 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…a42cbacked Oilers | 52c | 9,733$5,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,061 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Devils | 48c | 9,665$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025.61 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Oilers | 52c | 9,617$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.84 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 50c | 8,995$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.5 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 50c | 7,550$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Devils | 50c | 7,500$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Devils | 52c | 7,089$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.57 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Oilers | 17c | 6,519$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.48 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Devils | 51c | 5,885$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Oilers | 51c | 5,880$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Oilers | 53c | 5,566$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Oilers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Oilers | 50c | 3,789$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.61 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers | 50c | 3,300$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Oilers | 50c | 3,000$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Devils | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.93 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…2f63backed Oilers | 50c | 2,650$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…a281backed Devils | 50c | 2,650$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Devils | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers | 51c | 2,416$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.66 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…c68cbacked Oilers | 50c | 2,351$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…727dbacked Devils | 50c | 2,351$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Devils | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Oilers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oilers | 52c | 1,940$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.8 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 51c | 1,917$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.56 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Oilers | 13c | 1,846$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Oilers | 15c | 1,709$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.35 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 50c | 1,702$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.04 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Devils | 50c | 1,567$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.64 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Devils | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Oilers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 21c | 1,497$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…e7aabacked Oilers | 34c | 1,459$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 37c | 1,334$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.82 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Devils | 49c | 1,332$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.62 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers | 50c | 1,314$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.72 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Devils | 52c | 1,147$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.87 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Oilers | 50c | 1,128$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Oilers | 25c | 1,109$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.53 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Devils | 49c | 958.55$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.86 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Oilers | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Oilers | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 50c | 688.5$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Oilers | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Devils | 50c | 648$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Devils | 78c | 643.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 21c | 617$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Devils | 52c | 578.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…7db1backed Oilers | 51c | 573.34$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Devils | 50c | 512.5$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.25 | 451 | 49.4%223 W · 228 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Devils | 73c | 508.88$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Oilers | 46c | 479.69$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.73 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Oilers | 34c | 467.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Devils | 49c | 466.67$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Oilers | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Devils | 50c | 446.95$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.23 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Oilers | 51c | 429.41$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Oilers | 51c | 427.45$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Oilers | 51c | 413.73$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Devils | 72c | 341.41$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Oilers | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Oilers | 52c | 325$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Oilers | 32c | 324.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Oilers | 51c | 307$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Oilers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Devils | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Oilers | 50c | 295.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Oilers | 36c | 295.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Oilers | 45c | 269.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Oilers | 53c | 260.47$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Oilers | 33c | 254.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Devils | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Oilers | 51c | 225.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Devils | 72c | 211.34$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Devils | 49c | 208$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…0197backed Oilers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…5193backed Devils | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…22adbacked Devils | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…f03cbacked Devils | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Oilers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Devilsthis page
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.