TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,449 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over43c14,933$6,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,42154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc4c…444cbacked Under57c7,690$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.566440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Under57c3,546$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.891353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under53c3,374$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.8921142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c3,136$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under54c1,725$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.4869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under57c1,311$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc5…80ebbacked Under54c1,114$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930c…e231backed Over46c1,114$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under58c993.1$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.111159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over43c965.56$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.193,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Under53c949.98$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4934855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over46c925$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.527747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c907.58$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over22c840$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7120838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c780.84$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.991,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c717.33$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4198…bafcbacked Under57c709$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under57c705.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2526048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c535.71$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.712,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7190957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over44c522.73$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Under58c494.4$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.656453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over44c426.98$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8762744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over44c426$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4417644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under54c420.19$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2913547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cbd…19d0backed Over43c419$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under57c330.16$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.971,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over44c320$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab2…439dbacked Over43c290$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Over47c181.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8521355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad9…294fbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Under58c171.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.158563.5%54 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.456547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Under58c141.12$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.273756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over42c129.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over36c119.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.621,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under58c112.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0772250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.437549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over44c103.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5345653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4640541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d6…f530backed Under54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under58c86.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6210955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over43c85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5519950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under57c81.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8616338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over43c81.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.863,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.234047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.257250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under58c76.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3112747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb066…b7aabacked Under54c68.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under70c66.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c58.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.253,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under55c54.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9512364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c50.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.972,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Under58c47.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.955848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Under58c47.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.955354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Under55c44.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Under57c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9234556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Under57c43.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under58c40.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c39.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.72,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Over46c39.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked Over48c38.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.581741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Over43c38.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2614448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under58c37.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.93,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.047354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under57c35.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4311652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4546447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.486157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.628056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.993145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Under57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over44c26.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4923350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8623657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8612857.8%74 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under56c24.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.642551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5736…fdbabacked Over44c22.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Over46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.127851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6956454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.415253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.