NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585a8e014b7db86255b8e62610b782181ef0268ed206ff1b0caf958c929f2b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Jazz, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,771 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Jazz | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed 76ers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed 76ers | 69c | 207.91$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 76ers | 72c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Jazz | 31c | 53.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Jazz | 31c | 52.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Jazz | 31c | 51.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Jazz | 31c | 49.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked 76ers | 74c | 19.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. 76ers76ers won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)Jazz won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 32.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.