CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c635d37a4e8b4d6b7b1c2793e9570f6fbb65ef6b0b0ebce7d69105bf2fd0061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Natus Vincere, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,848 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 9,705$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Monte | 60c | 8,296$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.66 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Monte | 74c | 5,807$4,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.73 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 5,060$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.6 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 3,926$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.37 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…c7e1backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,916$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Monte | 61c | 3,869$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.66 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Monte | 65c | 3,476$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.42 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Monte | 63c | 3,431$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.75 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,345$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.4 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Monte | 73c | 3,230$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.08 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Monte | 63c | 2,881$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Monte | 62c | 2,832$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.01 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,730$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.79 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Monte | 61c | 2,428$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.56 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 66c | 2,009$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Monte | 30c | 1,995$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.61 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Monte | 39c | 1,985$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.79 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…e59bbacked Monte | 70c | 1,692$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.68 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Monte | 59c | 1,685$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.33 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,501$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.75 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Monte | 40c | 1,439$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.25 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Monte | 62c | 1,400$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.1 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Monte | 39c | 1,190$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.9 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,160$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.83 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,077$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.79 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…019dbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,045$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Monte | 40c | 1,007$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.19 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 877.99$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.36 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 856.41$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Monte | 79c | 823.47$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Monte | 55c | 821.52$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.8 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 805.97$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.66 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 799.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Monte | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monte | 71c | 709.78$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 681.56$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.75 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 665.88$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.23 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 556.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Monte | 63c | 549.63$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.41 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 539.49$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 533.25$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.52 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 518.63$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 512$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090d…8265backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 505.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Monte | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 462.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…ab0ebacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 449.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 439.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Monte | 69c | 420.86$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Monte | 64c | 398.26$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.87 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Monte | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…da5cbacked Monte | 65c | 376.27$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…c39bbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 362.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Monte | 64c | 311.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Monte | 58c | 310$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 297.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Monte | 67c | 279.56$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 278$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 275.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…15f2backed Monte | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 249$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monte | 37c | 238.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.03 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 221.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Monte | 63c | 181.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 165.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 163$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…f764backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 161.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Monte | 60c | 159.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Monte | 68c | 158.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4695…210abacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 157.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Monte | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed Monte | 79c | 144.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 144.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Monte | 37c | 141.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 139$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 137.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 124.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 120$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Monte | 79c | 116.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093c…2ef4backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 115.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Monte | 36c | 109.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…a614backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Monte | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…3a9fbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 97.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.