TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c13,385$4,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,776.772,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under46c12,523$5,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,730.8811645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over29c8,783$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,197.051,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over39c8,109$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,983.117936.7%29 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over33c6,047$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,037.6255845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,711$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.119021.1%19 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick11cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under67c2,454$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.3410249%50 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over24c2,143$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.5163857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under42c2,019$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.0814637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1603040%12 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under68c1,959$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.3879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over63c1,160$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Under34c1,111$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.742524%6 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under39c893.12$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.223135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under71c736.43$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.3781440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under67c662.67$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.392650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under56c655.49$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1978344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under34c649.36$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.191216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under45c564.22$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over60c540.29$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.827677.6%59 W · 17 L+13.5wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over55c499.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over39c413.03$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9536356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed Under78c353.09$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.31955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under33c352.55$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.456556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under60c333.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under66c313.4$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0927554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under79c296$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4911260.7%68 W · 44 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under40c281.88$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.755440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over53c264.69$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0411674.1%86 W · 30 L+18.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under72c262.6$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5429654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over44c228.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.642240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under76c208$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.710839.8%43 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under37c187.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7327846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over54c174.34$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0810768.2%73 W · 34 L+15.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under67c164.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8145348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over33c156.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0231856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under52c143.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under69c138.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2458061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under69c138.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2285260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c135.27$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.233,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under72c130$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.955236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over44c129.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.962528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c128.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.091,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over35c126.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.322,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over57c123.94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834763.8%30 W · 17 L+11.0wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+86.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Over56c97.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d1…b2d2backed Under34c93.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.01520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-70.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under77c90.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over58c87.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.545350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde05…e2d0backed Over57c84.74$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under32c81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8423950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over38c78.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2613067.7%88 W · 42 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over24c77.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.95444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under43c74.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under72c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under70c69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.333246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+82.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over28c63.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.592,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under72c56.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.811,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under70c55.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.815064%32 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Under80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over38c49.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.646631.8%21 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over37c49.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.068333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under72c47.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1627545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over41c46.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3350154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9210627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over28c43.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.322,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x096f…1e33backed Under73c41.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.435146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4295…6303backed Under34c29.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under44c28.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3239357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over67c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1637750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under44c26.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.519163.4%121 W · 70 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under67c25.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3432436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under71c24.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2244156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Under68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under72c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over55c20.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0717447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under71c15.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.938869.3%61 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.