Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Howard Bison vs. Northwestern Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd286d4e82d0485d54005b578381d06c529e573d096d0858997663da88695722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern Wildcatsof Howard Bison, Northwestern Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Howard Bison | 11c | 13,322$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.02 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Howard Bison | 11c | 12,834$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.6 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Howard Bison | 6c | 4,212$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.37 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Howard Bison | 6c | 3,196$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Howard Bison | 10c | 2,618$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.55 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Howard Bison | 10c | 2,388$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Howard Bison | 9c | 1,761$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Howard Bison | 8c | 1,715$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Howard Bison | 7c | 1,626$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ea…4a64backed Howard Bison | 6c | 1,412$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Howard Bison | 3c | 1,207$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Howard Bison | 12c | 1,170$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Howard Bison | 11c | 1,125$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Howard Bison | 5c | 1,067$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Howard Bison | 9c | 1,064$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Howard Bison | 5c | 1,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…a5c7backed Howard Bison | 10c | 579.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Howard Bison | 9c | 544.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…78c9backed Howard Bison | 8c | 529.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Howard Bison | 8c | 445.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Howard Bison | 5c | 401.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…500abacked Howard Bison | 5c | 379.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Howard Bison | 4c | 375$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Howard Bison | 11c | 339.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Howard Bison | 4c | 338.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Howard Bison | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Howard Bison | 7c | 280.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…8f8ebacked Howard Bison | 7c | 279.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…449bbacked Howard Bison | 5c | 278.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Howard Bison | 7c | 218.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Howard Bison | 9c | 209.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed Howard Bison | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Howard Bison | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Howard Bison | 6c | 176.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…45c8backed Howard Bison | 7c | 151$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Howard Bison | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Howard Bison | 11c | 103.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Howard Bison | 11c | 99.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 61.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Howard Bison vs. Northwestern Wildcatsthis page
- Howard Bison vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-19.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.