TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of G2, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,677 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked NIP3c9,598$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed NIP22c9,137$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.1810047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed G260c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked NIP25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked G270c4,815$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.0915760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x34b3…507fbacked G262c4,388$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.151346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G264c4,388$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.6783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked NIP40c3,855$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.248444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed G279c3,357$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.529153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c29…afadbacked G277c3,035$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.21681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1701,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked G261c2,850$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1155855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed NIP17c2,566$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.0241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed NIP7c2,561$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9643933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed NIP16c2,305$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.811,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked NIP40c2,295$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9184630.4%14 W · 32 L-9.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked NIP30c2,262$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.0261228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed G273c2,241$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.091,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked NIP3c2,147$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.625234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed NIP40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked G275c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50035850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked NIP30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G270c1,828$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.231,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP19c1,752$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.917,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G274c1,715$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.081,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed G259c1,694$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.595261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed NIP11c1,674$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7513332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed NIP20c1,674$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed NIP10c1,441$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.366225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked G273c1,324$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.722,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NIP10c1,267$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.661,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked NIP27c1,244$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.818840.9%36 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed G277c1,176$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.641,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed NIP2c1,170$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8231654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x515c…fd9abacked NIP1c1,150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed NIP2c1,111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9925416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f7…e59bbacked G272c1,107$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.845545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed G260c1,103$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.0134146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd7…05d8backed G276c1,086$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.641752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NIP27c1,009$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.794,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NIP31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked G261c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39015063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed NIP8c999.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked G277c999.98$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9910345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked NIP26c989.62$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.314144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed G266c989$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6524339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed NIP39c978.63$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.1121528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NIP24c959.67$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.053,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed NIP13c887.24$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6912446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP37c833.94$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.93,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f72…adc6backed G280c657.11$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.42977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked NIP13c656.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1913845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed NIP11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed NIP25c596.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9252947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP17c580.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.925,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked G271c567.05$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.84555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed G279c553.75$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3641260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7162…f2b3backed NIP3c549.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed NIP21c548.5$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.726144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked G259c498.2$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8221737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed NIP29c474.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb898…151cbacked G261c459.84$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8410353.4%55 W · 48 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed G258c458.69$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.651560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+62.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x725b…c913backed NIP23c434.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed G263c428.54$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2669635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked NIP41c428.17$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.636256.5%35 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed NIP20c419.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.811852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c74…c217backed G260c415$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1663240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0a…b543backed NIP40c415$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.922152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed G279c379.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6628254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked NIP41c370.94$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2410251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed G260c363.3$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3255043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NIP15c340$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.552,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8a4…ab0ebacked NIP7c318.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.294613%6 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked G274c308.76$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.282634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked NIP41c300.88$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.36319.7%3 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-72.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed NIP21c300.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4318342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP24c300.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.722,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed NIP10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8745455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed G263c270.95$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.353348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed G269c270$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.778348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed NIP29c261.29$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7750340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked NIP12c252.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed NIP4c251.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…500cbacked NIP4c251.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked NIP27c246$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6249745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed G280c237$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.649340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked NIP8c228.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2513756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NIP25c228.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.291,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed NIP20c225.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.944743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked NIP17c224.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.874835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddd…5366backed G278c209.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.23455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed G269c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6216152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked NIP12c173.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207534.7%26 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed G270c173.31$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7633960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…103abacked G262c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked G263c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7318554.1%100 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed NIP7c152.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118347.5%87 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1234…9bd1backed NIP7c151.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116535.4%23 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed NIP24c151.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3616650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.