CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9573c49289ab9492d07687927d88037bbfc3d315dd4176019825242ce3c839ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed NIP | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked G2 | 45c | 4,646$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.55 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed G2 | 39c | 2,411$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.89 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked NIP | 58c | 2,100$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.98 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed NIP | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed G2 | 42c | 1,931$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.15 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked NIP | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…71dfbacked NIP | 62c | 1,331$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed G2 | 38c | 1,198$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed NIP | 60c | 761.99$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.3 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked G2 | 70c | 758.32$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed G2 | 66c | 736.06$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…92b2backed G2 | 40c | 512.6$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked G2 | 45c | 509.26$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.09 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…f764backed G2 | 42c | 490.74$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.63 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked G2 | 44c | 454.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked G2 | 43c | 302.28$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.37 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NIP | 47c | 264.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed G2 | 51c | 225.16$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed G2 | 47c | 163.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed NIP | 53c | 163.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed G2 | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…37debacked G2 | 39c | 139.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked NIP | 56c | 139.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked NIP | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed G2 | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed NIP | 48c | 108.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed G2 | 56c | 101.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed NIP | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked G2 | 72c | 97.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed G2 | 39c | 97.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked NIP | 60c | 76.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed NIP | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed G2 | 56c | 69.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed G2 | 43c | 65.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed G2 | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…53edbacked NIP | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed G2 | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed NIP | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed G2 | 43c | 46.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…8509backed G2 | 41c | 39.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008c…47a9backed G2 | 40c | 39.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked G2 | 42c | 37.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…7cb0backed G2 | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd79b…3661backed G2 | 44c | 24.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked NIP | 51c | 23.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.