Euroleague · resolved market
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4cd2fb69b69685ac121fb23b8ce122ff3697bb23c20d156bed0d3a12da0e98c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Munchenof FC Bayern Munchen, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 24c | 11,124$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,424.14 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed FC Bayern Munchen | 65c | 6,515$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Saski Baskonia | 50c | 5,274$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 27c | 5,009$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Saski Baskonia | 14c | 3,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Saski Baskonia | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed FC Bayern Munchen | 65c | 1,831$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Saski Baskonia | 36c | 1,270$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.52 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Saski Baskonia | 57c | 1,250$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.96 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Saski Baskonia | 37c | 1,213$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.77 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 957.78$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saski Baskonia | 39c | 791.87$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.46 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed FC Bayern Munchen | 76c | 751.95$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Saski Baskonia | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 630.36$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 25c | 357.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.29 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Saski Baskonia | 31c | 330.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Saski Baskonia | 56c | 322.14$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.11 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Saski Baskonia | 34c | 218.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Saski Baskonia | 41c | 181.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 59c | 145$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Saski Baskonia | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed FC Bayern Munchen | 72c | 107.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 59c | 107$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Saski Baskonia | 34c | 103.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…968ebacked Saski Baskonia | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…d430backed FC Bayern Munchen | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Saski Baskonia | 79c | 58.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Saski Baskonia | 35c | 52.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 50.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Saski Baskonia | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed FC Bayern Munchen | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Saski Baskonia | 68c | 47.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Saski Baskonia | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Saski Baskonia | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 66c | 31.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 64c | 31.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Saski Baskonia | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Saski Baskonia | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Saski Baskonia | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Saski Baskonia | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e92…9653backed FC Bayern Munchen | 45c | 25.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 64c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.