Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Montana Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef2d73933d7f8426a456e38d08c68641d312dea14b661f071e9d36651cbdcc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana Grizzliesof Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, Montana Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Montana Grizzlies | 78c | 4,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 7c | 1,910$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 45c | 1,762$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 1,721$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.17 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Montana Grizzlies | 67c | 1,195$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.98 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 19c | 1,033$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 21c | 1,032$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 18c | 849.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 29c | 739.63$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Montana Grizzlies | 69c | 641.39$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.12 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 34c | 550.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Montana Grizzlies | 71c | 469.71$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 28c | 386$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Montana Grizzlies | 71c | 369$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 73c | 363.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Montana Grizzlies | 66c | 326.22$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Montana Grizzlies | 65c | 318.05$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Montana Grizzlies | 66c | 315.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Montana Grizzlies | 73c | 273.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Montana Grizzlies | 70c | 220$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 21c | 192.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 20c | 163.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 28c | 151$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Montana Grizzlies | 72c | 149$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…a993backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Montana Grizzlies | 52c | 126.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…1fc2backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 116.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…3d92backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 17c | 96.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…e809backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 38c | 80.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Montana Grizzlies | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…1555backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 21c | 70.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Montana Grizzlies | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Montana Grizzlies | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 35c | 57.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…3478backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Montana Grizzlies | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 25c | 44.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 43.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Montana Grizzlies | 70c | 42.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 45c | 35.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…18afbacked Montana Grizzlies | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…5830backed Montana Grizzlies | 78c | 22.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Montana Grizzlies | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Montana Grizzlies | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Montana Grizzlies | 69c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Montana Grizzliesthis page
- Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.