Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Wright State Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1226be217df609afc65662081c81d4d9d30160f277c10e65d64ee69723072edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Milwaukee Panthers, Wright State Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 11c | 7,358$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wright State Raiders | 64c | 1,220$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.2 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wright State Raiders | 70c | 967.86$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 19c | 842.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…3f41backed Milwaukee Panthers | 14c | 729.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wright State Raiders | 76c | 583.24$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Milwaukee Panthers | 36c | 558.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Milwaukee Panthers | 24c | 461.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wright State Raiders | 73c | 450.08$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Milwaukee Panthers | 31c | 363$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Milwaukee Panthers | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed Wright State Raiders | 70c | 285.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 28c | 216.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Milwaukee Panthers | 18c | 210.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Wright State Raiders | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Milwaukee Panthers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Milwaukee Panthers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Milwaukee Panthers | 32c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 18c | 160.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Wright State Raiders | 72c | 147.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Milwaukee Panthers | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Milwaukee Panthers | 31c | 131.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wright State Raiders | 66c | 109$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wright State Raiders | 73c | 104.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Milwaukee Panthers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 11c | 96.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 25c | 94.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Milwaukee Panthers | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wright State Raiders | 74c | 88.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wright State Raiders | 75c | 87.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wright State Raiders | 69c | 85.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Milwaukee Panthers | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Milwaukee Panthers | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Wright State Raiders | 65c | 45.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Wright State Raiders | 77c | 38.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Wright State Raidersthis page
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-5.5)Wright State Raiders won
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-6.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.