TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$762,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $762,368 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a8d…388cbacked Over49c21,804$10,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,683.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1895…38edbacked Under51c19,640$10,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,623.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Under51c19,200$9,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4083046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed20…ba3abacked Under51c19,198$9,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,407.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2b…3637backed Over49c17,428$8,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,539.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e6…8365backed Under51c17,181$8,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,418.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0f…12e5backed Under51c16,960$8,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,310.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c12,581$6,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,164.472,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0c…719ebacked Under51c11,708$5,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,736.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ace…ed71backed Under51c11,681$5,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,723.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over48c10,019$4,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,801.928648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c8,821$4,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,235.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6c…2500backed Under51c8,318$4,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab6…d7f3backed Under51c6,162$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e8…74dabacked Under51c5,765$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3690…6473backed Over49c5,482$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb8…f8e5backed Over49c5,473$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under53c5,453$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.11,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x096c…08ffbacked Over49c5,393$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee92…a682backed Over49c5,386$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f8…9f86backed Over49c5,380$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa889…a833backed Over49c5,353$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc607…7a9cbacked Under51c5,306$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdb…efffbacked Over49c5,296$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ab…d258backed Over49c5,260$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3db…1576backed Over49c5,231$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3010…f72fbacked Over49c5,149$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7576…cb8abacked Under51c5,139$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.11875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb445…e6dabacked Over49c5,133$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9374…0edbbacked Under51c5,106$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd301…9eafbacked Over49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7485…bda3backed Over49c5,096$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2095…0e38backed Under51c5,090$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7302…e0c4backed Over49c5,078$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ba…0795backed Over49c5,076$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2f…e627backed Under51c5,075$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe0…63bbbacked Over49c5,069$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbef5…133abacked Over49c5,008$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b1…1a25backed Over49c5,004$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71fd…459bbacked Over49c4,986$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf0…8d4abacked Under51c4,974$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc2…92f1backed Over49c4,968$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x305e…7987backed Over49c4,945$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01af…bec5backed Under51c4,941$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf35f…1652backed Over49c4,917$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7007…bcb0backed Over49c4,909$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…4ecebacked Over49c4,906$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1394…c83abacked Over49c4,894$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…03d6backed Over49c4,892$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc48c…d633backed Under51c4,892$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…e67fbacked Over49c4,880$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0a…eeb7backed Over49c4,875$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbf…ff7cbacked Under51c4,873$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135f…f00ebacked Over49c4,871$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8b…134fbacked Over49c4,861$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e7…ba25backed Over49c4,861$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92d…0ff2backed Over49c4,859$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c2…7fdabacked Over49c4,859$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b9…25f3backed Under51c4,859$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x805c…3a05backed Over49c4,859$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8505…a181backed Under51c4,849$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.015100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd620…12c5backed Over49c4,845$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef8…f0c0backed Under51c4,839$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29ec…5353backed Under51c4,831$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b8…d796backed Under51c4,830$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+68.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf49a…9af2backed Over49c4,828$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6692…2ef8backed Over49c4,824$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.76333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0381…66babacked Over49c4,820$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6045…5dfabacked Over49c4,818$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb7…28c1backed Under51c4,818$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…84c2backed Under51c4,817$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.334100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x045d…ff44backed Over49c4,810$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807e…9828backed Over49c4,807$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c83…5fc6backed Under51c4,794$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…0e29backed Under51c4,788$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe324…456fbacked Over49c4,780$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd12…6d68backed Under51c4,774$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab19…0c0ebacked Under51c4,771$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddc…d0a5backed Over49c4,769$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96af…8696backed Over49c4,759$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.91560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e4a…3e67backed Over49c4,749$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e41…bb35backed Under51c4,742$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.58650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x147a…2bfdbacked Under51c4,738$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ebc…0970backed Under51c4,733$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a5…85efbacked Under51c4,733$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e68…8db7backed Over49c4,724$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8600…feedbacked Under51c4,717$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2f…81fcbacked Under51c4,712$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.884100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9338…bf4fbacked Over49c4,708$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf96…66c5backed Over49c4,708$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482b…f51cbacked Over49c4,704$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.96333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c5…cfe9backed Over49c4,696$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9528…4c16backed Under51c4,694$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.06450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc606…b352backed Over49c4,694$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a7…dd0bbacked Under51c4,692$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x139c…36dbbacked Under51c4,686$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ca…2843backed Over49c4,682$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f98…f693backed Under51c4,678$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x840c…cd86backed Over49c4,676$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x493e…6023backed Over49c4,676$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.