TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c45,101$23,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,005.131,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c21,778$11,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,654.331,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c16,062$8,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,052.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c13,195$6,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,407.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Under50c9,986$4,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9932937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c6,361$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.752,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c5,527$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.092,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.191,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c3,134$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5672,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over52c2,980$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.595750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c2,108$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.833,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over48c2,048$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.0412552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over2c1,994$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c1,276$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.4750954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c1,165$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57135749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over48c1,032$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.8385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over11c1,015$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4428842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under50c1,005$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.515534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over52c817.56$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.1322055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over48c759$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.3254443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under50c720$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c583.33$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c484.24$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.121,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under50c330.44$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2240546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under50c307.77$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8922746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c287$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.761,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over10c260$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over10c260$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd8b5…9153backed Under49c211.22$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.723138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Under50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7013045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Over50c136$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6811943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda1c…5527backed Over50c125.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.213339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Over49c119.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.697142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under51c115.38$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over28c114.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Over48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.86150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c107.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.871,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…eaecbacked Over50c106.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.372050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4858754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73f9…c640backed Over49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c97.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.973,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over51c93.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.628850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under50c93.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5135843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under51c85.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.011,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c76.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over54c70.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3854854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under53c67.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.623,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under51c67.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9823349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked Under63c67.31$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…2e44backed Under48c65.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.041540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed Over50c65.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.526440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Under50c65.03$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.526852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c65.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.522,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea5…c77bbacked Under73c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.261752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c62.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.336,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…435cbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Under50c57.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.997251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Over51c54.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9911652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under51c52.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6233258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over50c47.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.511,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015041.3%62 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3926…c1b2backed Over48c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over32c38.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.113,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under57c31.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1232747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1227345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1232947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc408…df3dbacked Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9003…8937backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over54c29.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over50c29.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7920140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under56c25.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9515662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c24.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.051,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…fcd4backed Under48c22.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.