NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d89a1d61e2ef4b733e9fd47eb58c254c71f91e95abfb99b6f7062e51144d665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,567 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 46,053$22,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,536.14 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 51c | 12,764$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,509.64 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 12,124$6,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,186.41 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 10,100$5,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.39 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 10,002$5,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,101.1 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 48c | 9,954$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,176.26 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 9,916$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.04 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 50c | 5,256$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.76 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 3,861$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 53c | 3,806$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 51c | 3,795$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.2 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 47c | 3,531$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.6 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 3,117$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.18 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 2,734$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 2,718$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 51c | 2,027$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.57 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 1,975$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.01 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 1,933$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 1,779$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 2c | 1,670$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 1,557$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Under | 52c | 1,543$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.6 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 1,247$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 53c | 1,223$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.04 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…6663backed Over | 55c | 950$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 930$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…f06bbacked Under | 48c | 920$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…6a48backed Over | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 827.27$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 50c | 816$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 52c | 792.14$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 699$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 55c | 613.07$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 450.43$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 45c | 449$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.95 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 53c | 418.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.23 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 379$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 328.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 273$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.69 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 258.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 248$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 220.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 51c | 203.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 11c | 194.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Under | 50c | 193$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…1d29backed Over | 52c | 192.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 53c | 188.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…cc77backed Over | 14c | 182.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 175.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 24c | 151.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…fb27backed Under | 48c | 151$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked Over | 52c | 137.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 134.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Over | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 49c | 124.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 118.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 49c | 116$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 52c | 108.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 105.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 94.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 17c | 90.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 89.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 22c | 78.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Under | 49c | 72.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 49c | 65.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 54c | 63.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 55c | 61.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb991…2462backed Over | 54c | 60.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…def7backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 53c | 58.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf222…c4b1backed Over | 52c | 58.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 62c | 56.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 56.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 51c | 55.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 49c | 55.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…0075backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. LakersLakers won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Landry Shamet: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.