NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d56487380fe5646503549f55402afc72e5052991733a2b5a96881f0379b100c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Knicks, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $991,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $991,649 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Knicks | 58c | 200,000$116,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,187.12 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 44c | 123,424$54,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,117.69 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 55c | 103,871$56,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,997.48 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Knicks | 53c | 91,262$48,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,266.66 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 48c | 73,060$34,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,259.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks | 56c | 44,643$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 47c | 35,000$16,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,550 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks | 48c | 33,215$15,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,812.7 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 47c | 29,113$13,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,408.18 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b6…3eeebacked Knicks | 49c | 26,324$12,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,898.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Lakers | 44c | 25,340$11,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,190.4 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 14c | 21,789$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,729.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…8f0dbacked Lakers | 51c | 20,867$10,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,224.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…8b21backed Knicks | 49c | 20,164$9,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,880.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Lakers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.96 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…723bbacked Lakers | 51c | 19,772$10,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,688.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…08a3backed Lakers | 53c | 18,810$9,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,840.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4220…9c67backed Knicks | 49c | 18,654$9,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,140.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413e…5c22backed Knicks | 49c | 17,943$8,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,792.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Lakers | 52c | 17,386$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,385.95 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e685backed Knicks | 49c | 17,151$8,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,403.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e8…a544backed Lakers | 51c | 16,963$8,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,311.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…6bb8backed Lakers | 51c | 16,478$8,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,074.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Lakers | 51c | 15,687$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,686.63 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks | 51c | 14,955$7,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,686.44 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…7013backed Lakers | 51c | 13,831$7,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,777.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers | 50c | 13,389$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,689.36 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 51c | 12,957$6,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,605.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…cbf3backed Lakers | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…f2dabacked Knicks | 49c | 11,021$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…7093backed Lakers | 51c | 10,039$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…b07bbacked Lakers | 51c | 9,910$5,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,855.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…029fbacked Lakers | 51c | 9,271$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,542.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Lakers | 45c | 9,050$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.49 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…3822backed Knicks | 49c | 9,045$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…8908backed Lakers | 51c | 8,798$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6873…8f68backed Knicks | 49c | 8,478$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 51c | 8,330$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…d4ccbacked Lakers | 51c | 7,847$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Lakers | 49c | 7,667$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.29 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…1fa6backed Knicks | 49c | 6,975$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…aaa4backed Knicks | 49c | 6,436$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 48c | 6,255$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.32 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Lakers | 51c | 6,100$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…444fbacked Lakers | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…b02cbacked Lakers | 51c | 5,735$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 59c | 5,558$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.66 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 49c | 5,533$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lakers | 45c | 5,431$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.05 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 53c | 5,388$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…ba6bbacked Lakers | 51c | 5,296$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b48…11ecbacked Lakers | 51c | 5,206$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…3fe0backed Lakers | 51c | 5,188$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…0799backed Lakers | 51c | 5,177$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa08…0408backed Knicks | 49c | 5,002$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…6b3dbacked Knicks | 49c | 4,890$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…5cf3backed Lakers | 51c | 4,886$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ae…12a1backed Knicks | 49c | 4,845$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…47c5backed Knicks | 49c | 4,779$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…fbc8backed Knicks | 49c | 4,775$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…49c8backed Lakers | 51c | 4,761$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…d885backed Knicks | 49c | 4,704$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…7c51backed Lakers | 51c | 4,670$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…f521backed Knicks | 49c | 4,568$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks | 52c | 4,561$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…82b6backed Knicks | 49c | 4,510$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba98…e2febacked Knicks | 49c | 4,459$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b74fbacked Knicks | 49c | 4,422$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…e6a2backed Knicks | 49c | 4,421$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…ad3abacked Knicks | 49c | 4,376$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Lakers | 54c | 4,371$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.47 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe365…4e1abacked Knicks | 49c | 4,355$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf364…8957backed Lakers | 51c | 4,302$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…fd2dbacked Knicks | 49c | 4,298$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…4dc6backed Knicks | 49c | 4,263$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7d…dfa4backed Lakers | 51c | 4,239$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…fd49backed Lakers | 51c | 4,222$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…76ffbacked Lakers | 51c | 4,222$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…594dbacked Lakers | 51c | 4,049$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lakers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Lakers | 45c | 3,960$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…0814backed Knicks | 49c | 3,951$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Knicks | 55c | 3,912$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.6 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Lakers | 52c | 3,870$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.34 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…7f7ebacked Knicks | 49c | 3,827$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Knicks | 50c | 3,786$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.15 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Lakers | 53c | 3,780$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.52 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…3895backed Knicks | 49c | 3,757$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 40c | 3,652$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…4debbacked Knicks | 49c | 3,526$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…6bd5backed Knicks | 49c | 3,485$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Lakers | 10c | 3,229$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.65 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Lakers | 51c | 3,227$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.18 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Lakers | 52c | 2,968$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.64 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…20a0backed Lakers | 51c | 2,741$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…bb3fbacked Knicks | 49c | 2,457$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,260$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.79 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Lakers | 49c | 2,122$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.45 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. LakersLakers won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Landry Shamet: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.