TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Landry Shamet: Points O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,515 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes53c755.51$400 inWon+$355.5119951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No47c713.51$335 inLost-$335.355,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Yes40c275.25$110 inWon+$165.255541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No51c271.24$138 inLost-$138.3328842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No60c268.36$161 inLost-$161.1990863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes47c182.5$86 inWon+$96.7795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked Yes49c145$71 inWon+$73.957048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Yes36c142.5$52 inWon+$90.5115651.9%81 W · 75 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No66c99.99$66 inLost-$66.4995260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c84$50 inLost-$49.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No63c79.37$50 inLost-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No68c74.99$51 inLost-$50.9922774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No65c55$36 inLost-$35.7565630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Yes37c54.27$20 inWon+$34.271758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No63c51.64$33 inLost-$32.531,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No65c50.5$33 inLost-$32.671,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d5…ea64backed Yes32c47.19$15 inWon+$32.09714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47b8…76f2backed Yes34c47.06$16 inWon+$31.062352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf250…40a8backed Yes32c46.36$15 inWon+$31.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda2…ba18backed Yes33c39.39$13 inWon+$26.395131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No68c30$20 inLost-$20.460267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No48c30$14 inLost-$14.41,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No56c21.59$12 inLost-$11.9919555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No67c15.59$10 inLost-$10.451,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.